A system dynamics model for hydropower generation planning

Abstract

The objective of this research is to investigate the application of the system dynamics approach to Manitoba Hydro's hydropower generation planning. The modeling processes focused on four main areas: hydraulic sector, electric power generation sector, transmission, and the economic sector. The models developed in this research can be used to: (1) determine the initial water storage of Lake Winnipeg to generate maximum or near maximum revenue for Manitoba Hydro, using Model A; (2) determine the control water level target of Lake Winnipeg to generate maximum or near maximum revenues for Manitoba Hydro, using Model B; (3) determine how much water to release via Manitoba Hydro's generating system from Lake Winnipeg in a manner that ensures the production of maximum or near maximum revenues for the utility, using Models A and B combined, (4) analyze the relationships between generating capacity, load development, and transmission system capacity. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)