The theory of dyadic strategic determinism: matching, mismatching or disrupting in the US-USSR/Russia and the US-China dyads: 1945-present

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Date
2020
Authors
DEMPSEY, ANTHONY
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Abstract
This paper demonstrates that the military strategies of states in dyadic interactions are predictable as a function of relative power. Each state pursues a strategy of internal balancing against a primary adversary. The independent variable in dyadic interactions is the extant hard power of each state. The dependent variable is the reactive response of each, with three possible outcomes: matching (countering the adversary by balancing its military might in kind), mismatching (pursuing military-parity via one-sided specialization) and disruption (seeking a military balance that repudiates static hard power balancing, in favour of terrorism and unconventional or asymmetrical warfare.
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Keywords
International Relations, Dyadic Interactions, Realism, Neorealism
Citation
Chicago