The effect of movement on the early phase of an epidemic
Loading...
Date
2016
Authors
Rose, Jason
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Abstract
A Markov chain model for the early stochastic phase of the transmission of an infectious pathogen is studied, investigating its properties in the case of an isolated population and of two coupled populations with explicit movement of infectious individuals. Travel was found to play a role in the early development and spread of an infectious disease, particularly in the case of differing basic reproduction numbers in the connected locations.
Description
Keywords
Markov chain