Show simple item record

dc.contributor.supervisorStadnyk, Tricia (Civil Engineering)en_US
dc.contributor.authorVieira, Michael John Fernandes
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-02T14:58:33Z
dc.date.available2016-02-02T14:58:33Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1993/31124
dc.description.abstractUncertainty surrounds the understanding of natural variability in hydrologic extremes such as droughts and floods and how these events are projected to change in the future. This thesis leverages Global Climate Model (GCM) data to analyse 738 year streamflow scenarios in the Nelson-Churchill River Basin. Streamflow scenarios include a 500 year stationary period and future projections forced by two forcing scenarios. Fifty three GCM simulations are evaluated for performance in reproducing observed runoff characteristics. Runoff from a subset of nine simulations is routed to generate naturalized streamflow scenarios. Quantile mapping is then applied to reduce volume bias while maintaining the GCM’s sequencing of events. Results show evidence of future increases in mean annual streamflow and evidence that mean monthly streamflow variability has decreased from stationary conditions and is projected to decrease further into the future. There is less evidence of systematic change in droughts and floods.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectClimate change, Natural climate variability, Runoff, Routing, Streamflow, Bias correction, Drought, Flooden_US
dc.title738 years of global climate model simulated streamflow in the Nelson-Churchill River Basinen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
dc.typemaster thesisen_US
dc.degree.disciplineCivil Engineeringen_US
dc.contributor.examiningcommitteeRasmussen, Peter (Civil Engineering) Stewart, Ronald (Environment and Geography) Koenig, Kristina (Manitoba Hydro)en_US
dc.degree.levelMaster of Science (M.Sc.)en_US
dc.description.noteMay 2016en_US
local.subject.manitobayesen_US


Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record